Recently learned from a number of authoritative sources, according to the work arrangements of relevant international standards organizations, the first version of the 5G international standard in June 2018 will be officially released. At that time, the upstream and downstream companies in the industrial chain, including major telecommunication operators, telecommunications equipment manufacturers and mobile equipment manufacturers, will formally deploy 5G commercial networks in accordance with 5G international standards. The industry generally believes that the first version of the 5G international standard is available, which means that the global 5G industry will start shooting. According to industry forecasts, after the standard is announced, China will also accelerate the industrialization of 5G. By 2030, 5G will drive China’s total social output of 16.9 trillion yuan and create 19.5 million jobs.
Starting in October of this year, major telecom companies and several standard proponents have successively submitted 5G standard plans to relevant international standards organizations. All countries have indicated that they will follow the unified standard to formulate 5G technical standards. According to the work arrangement of the relevant international standards organization, the 5G standard plan submitted by the above-mentioned will be frozen at the end of this year. After consultation among the parties, the first version of the 5G international standard will be formulated and will be formally announced in June 2018.
"In terms of standards, China's 5G standard discourse is further enhanced." Wang Zhiqin, vice president of the China Institute of Information and Communications, told the "Economic Information Daily" reporter that China has certain advantages in formulating 5G standards. In the process of releasing the first version of the 5G standard, China has made outstanding contributions in a large number of key positions, voting rights, contributions, and lead projects. At present, China’s personnel hold more than 30 key positions in the standards organization, voting power exceeds 30%, 30% of contributions, 40% of lead projects, wireless infrastructure such as wireless flexible system design, large-scale antenna, polarization code, and new multiple access There are significant contributions to standards development such as technology and new network architecture.
Wang Zhiqin thinks that after the first version of the 5G international standard is released, it will be a big plus for the development of China's 5G industry and information industry. However, Wang Zhiqin also pointed out that standards are not the only factor determining the level of 5G industry development. The deployment of commercial networks as soon as possible and large-scale 5G applications can ensure the smooth development of China's 5G industry. Institutions such as the China Information and Communications Research Institute and Qualcomm believe that after the 5G international standard is released, it will clear the way for the construction of a global 5G commercial network. By that time, which country can take the lead in building and commercial high-level 5G commercial networks, which country is expected to have an advantage in the global 5G industry chain.
Wang Zhiqin introduced that many countries and regions are currently paying close attention to 5G commercial use. The United States, the European Union, South Korea, Japan, and China all plan to start commercial deployment of 5G networks in the second half of 2019 and formally commercialize them in 2020. With the announcement of 5G international standards, global 5G industry competition will also become increasingly intense.
Since 5G is related to the overall level of development of the information industry and the national economy in the future, in addition to actively leading the international 5G standards, China has also invested heavily in the commercialization and industrialization of 5G networks. Recently, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced the use of 5G in the frequency band of 3000-5000MHz, which means that China has taken the lead in resolving the problem of spectrum resources that hinder the development of 5G commercial and industrial applications. During the year this year, the three major operators have also started 5G pilot projects in several cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Guangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and Ningbo. The three major operators introduced the report to the “Economic Information Daily†reporter. The current 5G pilot work is progressing smoothly, and related technologies and application tests have achieved satisfactory results. This is the next phase of large-scale experimental networking and the start of 5G commercialization in 2019. The network deployment lays a good foundation and ensures that the 5G network will be officially commercialized by 2020 as planned.
After commercial use of 5G networks, it will drive the development of the entire industry and the national economy. According to Kuang Guohua, Honorary Chairman of the China Communications Standards Association and Director of the Strategic Steering Committee, 5G will generate 12.3 trillion US dollars of economic output globally by 2035, and the global 5G value chain will reach 3.5 trillion US dollars, of which China will 980.4 billion US dollars.
According to the “White Paper on 5G Security Demand and Architecture†issued by the China Academy of Information and Communications, it is forecasted that in 2030, 5G networks will drive total social output in China by 16.9 trillion yuan, an economic value-added of 6.5 trillion yuan, and create 19.5 million jobs. Among them, in terms of direct contributions, 5G will drive total output of 6.3 trillion yuan, economic growth value of 2.9 trillion yuan, and 8 million employment opportunities; in terms of indirect contributions, 5G will drive total output of 10.6 trillion yuan, and the economy will increase. The value of 3.6 trillion yuan, 11.5 million job opportunities.
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