Along with Master Crazy victory over the human flag bearer and Baidu artificial intelligence robot in the field of face recognition to defeat the "Most Powerful Brain" player, whether the artificial intelligence robot will replace the human job in large-scale future disputes. A report on employment in the future released today predicts that China’s current employment of 55-77% will be replaced by technology in the future due to low skill levels, but new manufacturing will not shrink but will create more employment opportunities. Twenty years later, the digital economy will bring more than 400 million jobs. Boston Consulting Group (BCG) released the report entitled “Towards 2035:400 Million in Digital Economy Employment Future†at the 2nd New Economy Think Tank Conference held today. According to the report, machine intelligence does not completely replace people, but instead partially replaces and increases efficiency. At the same time, it is inevitable that jobs that have not been replaced by machines will update their skill requirements – creating value in areas where smart machines and digital technologies are not yet available: such as high-tech, flexible handling and problem solving. 
Therefore, those who have mastered comprehensive skills and qualities that are not easily replaced by digital technologies will enjoy a wider space for career development, and competing for such talents will inevitably become the focus of the next round of “talents battleâ€. weight. The World Bank also had similar inferences: “If workers can master skills in the use of technology, they will increase productivity and pay; if they cannot improve skills, they will have to compete for low-level jobs.†The report focuses on four types of digital economy employment scenarios such as new retail, pan-entertainment, new finance, and new manufacturing. The report proposes that the new retail will upgrade the positioning of traditional retail stores from display display of merchandise to the creation of consumer experience and personalized physical services, but also forced the transformation of service personnel under the line - those who do not have professional skills or special sales knowledge Store clerk will be replaced by touch screen big screen, mobile APP and shopping guide robot (when the cost is lower than manual and brings better experience). Traditional marketing jobs are faced with technological innovations—accurate, peer-to-peer, “two-way interaction†digital marketing has replaced traditional “one-way communication†modes such as TV commercials and print ads. This requires employment people to know the advertising promotion model and marketing in the data era. Way. Some e-commerce companies that have expanded themselves offline (rather than using capital cooperation) will also have demand for traditional retail store operations, investment promotion and other job opportunities. More importantly, both online and offline companies will favor talents who understand the omnichannel operating model. The development of digital technology has brought about an opportunity for China's manufacturing to make a transition to new manufacturing. The change of the smart factory will first affect the employment opportunities of the basic operators of the low-tech threshold. However, thanks to the smart machines used in new manufacturing applications in each manufacturing sub-sector, intelligent machinery manufacturing industry will usher in prosperity and bring large-scale employment. At the same time, the smart home industry will also generate employment in hardware, super applications, cloud platforms, and data. At the same time, machine intelligence and employment on the platform will no longer be a constraint for the physical quality of the employed and the region in which it is located. Whether it is an individual in a remote area or a miniaturized organization will inevitably access global job opportunities. For example, Upwork, Pawnshop and other free employment platforms make remote work possible, and help developing countries with low-cost skilled laborers to obtain work tasks from developed countries, which will bring about global cooperation and equal treatment of workers. The report believes that digital technologies represented by the Internet, cloud computing, big data, Internet of things, and artificial intelligence will revolutionize the employment ecosystem. It will bring disruptive impact on the employment ecology in three aspects: First, digital technology is widely integrated into all walks of life, and in-depth changes in the traditional industry's business logic and operating methods. Second, digital technology enables new modes of collaboration within and outside the organization to operate smoothly and more in line with business demands. Third, the substitution of digital technology for human labor is becoming stronger and stronger, and “digital aborigines†will have new work values ​​in the digital era. As a country with the largest number of netizens in the world, China has shown rapid development and has promoted the overall progress of Chinese society. BCG uses the e-GDP indicator to quantify the overall scale of the digital economy in terms of currency value, and assumes that the output of the labor force in each part of the e-GDP is the same, and that it will increase from the average annual growth rate of 6% after 2015. Driven employment scale. According to estimates, China's overall digital economy in 2035 will be close to US$16 trillion, with a digital economy penetration rate of 48% and a total employment capacity of 415 million. The report takes Alibaba, a representative of China's large-scale e-commerce companies, as an example. It assumes that its job creation in 2035 accounts for the same proportion of employment in China's digital economy as it did in 2015, and it expects to create domestic employment of 112 million in 2035.
Therefore, those who have mastered comprehensive skills and qualities that are not easily replaced by digital technologies will enjoy a wider space for career development, and competing for such talents will inevitably become the focus of the next round of “talents battleâ€. weight. The World Bank also had similar inferences: “If workers can master skills in the use of technology, they will increase productivity and pay; if they cannot improve skills, they will have to compete for low-level jobs.†The report focuses on four types of digital economy employment scenarios such as new retail, pan-entertainment, new finance, and new manufacturing. The report proposes that the new retail will upgrade the positioning of traditional retail stores from display display of merchandise to the creation of consumer experience and personalized physical services, but also forced the transformation of service personnel under the line - those who do not have professional skills or special sales knowledge Store clerk will be replaced by touch screen big screen, mobile APP and shopping guide robot (when the cost is lower than manual and brings better experience). Traditional marketing jobs are faced with technological innovations—accurate, peer-to-peer, “two-way interaction†digital marketing has replaced traditional “one-way communication†modes such as TV commercials and print ads. This requires employment people to know the advertising promotion model and marketing in the data era. Way. Some e-commerce companies that have expanded themselves offline (rather than using capital cooperation) will also have demand for traditional retail store operations, investment promotion and other job opportunities. More importantly, both online and offline companies will favor talents who understand the omnichannel operating model. The development of digital technology has brought about an opportunity for China's manufacturing to make a transition to new manufacturing. The change of the smart factory will first affect the employment opportunities of the basic operators of the low-tech threshold. However, thanks to the smart machines used in new manufacturing applications in each manufacturing sub-sector, intelligent machinery manufacturing industry will usher in prosperity and bring large-scale employment. At the same time, the smart home industry will also generate employment in hardware, super applications, cloud platforms, and data. At the same time, machine intelligence and employment on the platform will no longer be a constraint for the physical quality of the employed and the region in which it is located. Whether it is an individual in a remote area or a miniaturized organization will inevitably access global job opportunities. For example, Upwork, Pawnshop and other free employment platforms make remote work possible, and help developing countries with low-cost skilled laborers to obtain work tasks from developed countries, which will bring about global cooperation and equal treatment of workers. The report believes that digital technologies represented by the Internet, cloud computing, big data, Internet of things, and artificial intelligence will revolutionize the employment ecosystem. It will bring disruptive impact on the employment ecology in three aspects: First, digital technology is widely integrated into all walks of life, and in-depth changes in the traditional industry's business logic and operating methods. Second, digital technology enables new modes of collaboration within and outside the organization to operate smoothly and more in line with business demands. Third, the substitution of digital technology for human labor is becoming stronger and stronger, and “digital aborigines†will have new work values ​​in the digital era. As a country with the largest number of netizens in the world, China has shown rapid development and has promoted the overall progress of Chinese society. BCG uses the e-GDP indicator to quantify the overall scale of the digital economy in terms of currency value, and assumes that the output of the labor force in each part of the e-GDP is the same, and that it will increase from the average annual growth rate of 6% after 2015. Driven employment scale. According to estimates, China's overall digital economy in 2035 will be close to US$16 trillion, with a digital economy penetration rate of 48% and a total employment capacity of 415 million. The report takes Alibaba, a representative of China's large-scale e-commerce companies, as an example. It assumes that its job creation in 2035 accounts for the same proportion of employment in China's digital economy as it did in 2015, and it expects to create domestic employment of 112 million in 2035.
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